Entries by Bob Loukas

Has the Trap Been Set

We finally have some movement within the gold complex, and for a welcomed change, it’s to the upside. It has been dicey lately, as the back and forth daily swings have been unnerving. It’s not common within bear markets to see an asset form a Cycle Low and then just take off to the upside. This is why anyone trading the precious metals sector needs to understand that the Long traders carry with them a lot of anxiety. Past experiences have them guarded, which is why we see these frequent quick intra-day reversals…they’re spooked far too easily.

Fortunately, we are into the timing band for these big Cycle Low events now. Within this report, I bolster the idea that we’re seeing evidence to support these lows as having pasted already. Shifting the main question now away from whether we have new Cycle’s in play over to a discussion on what these Cycles could potentially bring.

Crude Oil is Hitting Bottom

The presence of a new series of lower tops and lower lows on the Investor Cycle chart is suggesting that 2015 is likely to be a very challenging period for the energy markets. Like all assets, energy moves through Cycles of varying timeframes. I believe that the record investment of the past 5 years has resulted in too much production, which will lead to a period of business consolidation and bankruptcy.

10-18 Crude weekly