Ordinarily, Crude should currently be screaming higher. The Dollar is down sharply, and equities have been on a tear.  Yet, Crude has struggled to hold recent gains while risk markets have exploded upward. This is not a positive development for Crude’s upside. 

I believe the weakness in this Daily Cycle foreshadows what lies directly ahead. As Crude continues to knock on the lower resistance area around the $100-$102 level, it is threatening a fall through that floor.  Because the current Daily Cycle has already failed, a continued decline into a Daily Cycle Low is a fairly sure thing. The Investor Cycle is 27 weeks deep, well into its final decline into an Investor Cycle Low. As both the Daily and Investor Cycles are in decline, I firmly expect a break-down below $100 to begin next week.