Entries by Bob Loukas

Midweek Market Update – June 24th

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Patience is Required

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Midweek Market Update – June 17th

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Approaching An Endpoint

A significant component of Cycle study focuses on identifying the type of Cycle an asset is following, and correlating that Cycle type’s typical performance to the asset. When a strong identification is possible, as with Gold today, the predictability of future performance is generally very high. So for the moment, we can only conclude that the bears remain in control, and that Gold is showing a setup only a bear could love. Based on these charts and longer term Cycle counts, we should prepare for a new down-leg. If another rally were to materialize, I’d expect it to be modest and to fizzle very quickly.

Mind that Gap

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Midweek Market Update – July 10th

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The Script Has Been Written

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Midweek Market Update – June 3rd

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You Don’t Know Where the Market is Heading!

I’ve been of two minds recently regarding the current Cycle picture in equities. So this week I focused more attention on finding secondary evidence to support a more definitive position on direction. As I suspected it might, my research provided an almost endless array of contradictory evidence and facts.

The internet and social media are a mixed blessing to researchers – they can lead to a huge number of hypotheses and points of view, but the quality of information is generally pretty low. At its best, however, the internet can lead to ideas and links to compelling analysis and primary sources. The point is that there exists online a mass of data points, ideas, opinions, analyses and thesis that can occasionally help to bring real clarity of thought, but more often, the information serves only to confuse, and even obfuscate. From a trader’s perspective, the information is generally unable to answer the questions that are of greatest import.

Summer Doldrums

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