Entries by Bob Loukas

Trade Idea – Bond Market Overextended

The Bond market has been hot of late and is showing us a new bullish Weekly Cycle is already in play. Several months of declines and consolidation, along with a more hawkish FED, have many believing that the great bond bull market is very much past its prime. But I wouldn’t count the bond market out yet, not this late in the business Cycle. And in the shorter term, the current action is very bullish.

Gold Miners Are Saying It’s Time

Back in early July I published the view that we needed “Just a Little Bit More” downside to complete the gold Investor Cycle. All of the indicators and tools we used to spot these turns were firmly in place and it had become a matter of cleaning out the remaining bulls before turning. At the time of publishing, gold stood at $1,130, and my expectation was for one more decline, below $1,110, in order to complete the Cycle and form a major Investor Cycle Low.

Well, with the strength seen in the miners these past few days, we can say with a very high degree of confidence that the Gold Weekly (Investor) Cycle has turned. Judging by the gold chart alone, that call might seem a touch premature. But it’s the gold miners that almost always lead the gold Cycle out of significant troughs.