The Weekly Gold Report


Hello public blog followers of The Financial Tap.  It has been at least two years since I published any free blog content.  I am going to be making it a point to release one free post or report per month going forward.

The below video is an excerpt from this past weekend’s gold section of The Financial Tap premium report.   It covers the current status of gold in relation to the Daily, Weekly, and long term Cycles.  It has been an amazing run over the past 18 months and it’s clear to me that gold ended its bear market in 2016 and is now into the awareness phase of the next bull market.  Although overbought and getting close to a big weekly cycle top, the longer term prospects for gold are absolutely amazing.  I look forward to any comments you might have and hope you consider joining us on the next fantastic gold bull market run.   Enjoy the video.






Gold Cycle Running Out of Steam


I predicted that gold would rally last week up to the $1,155 area, and was also equally unsurprised when it was rejected the first time by that declining (see green trend-line on chart) resistance line. Those are standard or obvious Cycle pivot points, but how it continued lower yesterday to fall well below the 10 day moving average was not a “typical” development if you’re a supporter of the bull case in gold.

This is after-all supposed to be the most bullish period for gold, the heart of the 2nd Daily Cycle is where most of the solid gains are made during an uptrend.  We wanted to see only a brief, possibly just an intra-day break below the 10dma, followed by a rally to smash through that trend-line. There is obviously still some time left for gold to rally, but the point is that it has taken up far too much of the 2nd Daily Cycle while remaining well below recent Cycle highs. During a series of bullish Cycles, new highs are made quickly and sustained relentlessly, they certainly do not languish like this.

So as I covered this past weekend (premium report) and warned then, I’m telling the bulls again to watch out. This is playing out just as past bear market Cycles have. That’s four years’ worth of Cycles and each one behaved and performed almost like this one has so far. And sadly we do not see any bullish divergences from Silver or the precious metal miners to hang some hope on. As I have consistently maintained, during any bear market we must assume surprises will move to the downside and that the trend will push the asset lower.

Remember though, Cycles depict the natural ebb & flow process of an asset.  And in the very short term, a bounce out of a Half Cycle Low is now due and expected. Another test in the coming days of that resistance line is likely, but there is a very good chance that same resistance area will cause gold to fall sharply towards the next Daily Cycle Low. If the bulls are serious and want to significantly change this outlook, then they need to smash through the resistance area and make new Cycle highs above $1,156.  Until that point, please be mindful of the dominant trend, it is much more powerful than us all combined.


9-30 Gold Daily


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