Midweek Market Update – Nov 4th
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Bob Loukas is the founder of The Financial Tap. With over 20 years of experience in market analysis and trading, Bob is a life-long student of economics and has an abiding passion for the financial markets.
He is a leading expert in Market Cycles. His love of Cycles emerged from the study of the work of Walter Bressert, a pioneer in the field.
Originally from Sydney, Australia, Bob has been settled in New York City for the past 16 years. His background is in Computer Sciences, with extensive experience in the Financial Software arena. Prior to launching The Financial Tap, Bob served as a senior executive at various Fortune 50 firms where he led development of financial trading and reporting software.
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It’s important to remember that by week 15 of a Gold Investor Cycle, the odds of a continuation rally have typically really diminished. Now that Gold has closed below the 10 week moving average, and with a bear market in force, the only valid outlook is to expect Gold to go into a tailspin and to ultimately collapse into the next ICL. We should see one more attempt to rally, but there should be no second chances for Gold from this point forward.
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This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
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The most bullish path (from a number of possibilities) has tracked this week and we have a solid new Daily and Investor Cycle high. This is by no means (yet) a sign that a new bull market has started, that type of conclusion can only be reached with consecutive higher highs at the Investor Cycle timeframe. I like how the sector has performed here, but let’s not forget that all commodities are doing well with a sharply lower dollar. And for those with short term memory issues, let’s not forget that gold has a habit of drawing in the gold bulls before unleashing another wave of selling.
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This content is for members only