Entries by Bob Loukas

Game Changing Action

December 14, 2015 in /by

The market has traveled quickly from a potentially bullish setup to a possible Investor Cycle Top. Although it can always change, the trend is now distinctly downward, and there are still many weeks before we should expect an ICL. The big variable on every time frame is the FOMC meeting next week. But regardless of what the FED does, my bias is now firmly in the bearish camp. I believe the market could be in for a very sharp decline in the coming weeks/months, especially if the FED decides to raise rates at next week’s meeting.

Possible Game Changer

December 13, 2015 in /by

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Market Update – Dec 9th

December 10, 2015 in /by

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Efficient Markets

December 6, 2015 in /by

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Midweek Market Update – Dec 3rd

December 3, 2015 in /by

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Final Holiday Sales Coming Soon

November 28, 2015 in /by

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Patience Is Required.

November 22, 2015 in /by

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Bullish, But Do Don’t Fall In Love – Free Report

November 19, 2015 in /by

But if the dominant bull market trend resumes, as I think it will, the traditionally strong holiday period should lift the market significantly higher. If the bull is to remain alive, it will need the FED’s help, first by first keeping rates unchanged and then by extending support for zero interest rates.

Flexibility will be the watchword for equities. We don’t need to always be right, but we must avoid being wrong for a significant amount of time.

Midweek Market Update – Nov 19th.

November 19, 2015 in /by

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The Final Gold Chapter

November 16, 2015 in /by

But because the timing and evidence support another significant move lower, I believe that any rally will be very short lived. The new Daily Cycle rally should be just enough to clear oversold technical levels and allow the Bollinger Bands to expand to accommodate the next big decline.

For those asking whether the current decline could be a short, 16 week ICL, I just don’t see it. A perfect double bottom forming with the July low would wrap a nice bow around the bear market, but the evidence doesn’t support it. It is not impossible by any stretch, but it is very unlikely.