All is not what it seems
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Bob Loukas is the founder of The Financial Tap. With over 20 years of experience in market analysis and trading, Bob is a life-long student of economics and has an abiding passion for the financial markets.
He is a leading expert in Market Cycles. His love of Cycles emerged from the study of the work of Walter Bressert, a pioneer in the field.
Originally from Sydney, Australia, Bob has been settled in New York City for the past 16 years. His background is in Computer Sciences, with extensive experience in the Financial Software arena. Prior to launching The Financial Tap, Bob served as a senior executive at various Fortune 50 firms where he led development of financial trading and reporting software.
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Equities sold off sharply as the election results started to come in, but by the end of the week, the market had settled generally higher. As with Gold, equities have a Cycle trending in a certain direction, and we should continue to follow the dominant trend until the action directs otherwise.
The Dow Jones made a new high this week, but the broader market has yet to follow. And since weekly Cycle timing continues to favor more downside before an Investor Cycle Low (ICL), the resistance line on the below chart should continue to hold. At this point, there is not enough evidence to warrant speculating about a new Investor Cycle (IC) and IC rally.
For now, a reversal lower from here as part of a Left Translated Cycle is the highest probability scenario for equities. But the highest probability scenario does not always come to pass. If, instead of rolling over, the market moves to a new all-time high, we will need to quickly change our perspective.
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only