Entries by Bob Loukas

Will this Crude Oil Rally hold?

Crude has finally reversed higher to recover some of its recent losses, and is now showing clear evidence of a new Daily Cycle (DC) and Crude Oil Rally. There are early signs of a new Investor Cycle (IC) as well.

Midweek, Crude bottomed on day 44 before reversing sharply higher and punching through the declining trend-line. And when it closed above the 10 day moving average, Crude confirmed that it is in the early stages of a new Daily Cycle. From this point forward, Crude’s performance will depend on its Investor Cycle and the bear market as a whole.

It is all about time.

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Cycle’s Update – Aug 3rd

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Gold Setup

When we widen the timeframe out to the weekly Cycle, we see an entirely different picture. A clear bear market trend has decisively broken as a second straight Investor Cycle high has been made. The trend has reversed, and the early performance of the precious metals miners tells us that a new bull market is already well under way.

The Next Leg

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Update – July 24th

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Weekend Update – July 15th

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The Markets Are Speaking

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Midweek Update – June 6th

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Golden Fireworks

As predicted when the DC started (some $100 ago), we are likely to have another 6-10 weeks higher in the current Investor Cycle. My minimum target is $1,420, but my expectation is that the IC will top somewhere between $1,450 and $1,480. Be smart about your entries and exits – it is best to buy during dips and sell some during rips, as opposed to becoming excited during surges and adding leverage at the end of intraday moves. Most investors will be best served by not watching the tape too closely and by being content with the positions they have.