Midweek Cycles Update- Jan 26th
This content is for members only
Bob Loukas is the founder of The Financial Tap. With over 20 years of experience in market analysis and trading, Bob is a life-long student of economics and has an abiding passion for the financial markets.
He is a leading expert in Market Cycles. His love of Cycles emerged from the study of the work of Walter Bressert, a pioneer in the field.
Originally from Sydney, Australia, Bob has been settled in New York City for the past 16 years. His background is in Computer Sciences, with extensive experience in the Financial Software arena. Prior to launching The Financial Tap, Bob served as a senior executive at various Fortune 50 firms where he led development of financial trading and reporting software.
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
The last point might end up being more important than we think. Looking at this week’s commitment of trader’s report (COT), I’ve noticed that speculative Long and Short positions have barely turned off their recent extremes. Meaning that this $90 first DC move really has not come off the back of a shift in speculative positions. This is precisely why you do not see any large spikes in volume or price on any of the given 20 days of the Cycle. Therefore, from what I can tell, a larger degree rally lies potentially ahead for this Investor Cycle, setting the scene for an impressive 2nd Daily Cycle to come.
When the gold Cycle first turned higher almost a month ago, I said that we could expect a $100 rally over the first 20 sessions. As it stands today, the Cycle has hit day 20 and rallied $90+ off the Cycle Low. It is at a point where we should check our short-term expectations going forward.
This content is for members only
I’m very bullish on the S&P in the short term because sentiment is very high and we’ve seen this pause of late lead to a tightening of the Bollinger bands. Such consolidations, especially in a market that has become so speculative, has the potential to provide a significant amount of fuel behind a move.
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only