Coal In Our Stocking

Posted by Bob Loukas
On December 10, 2011

The much anticipated EU summit ended this week with some fairly broad (excluding Britain) and unilateral support for reworking the original Lisbon treaty. The markets were heartened by the smiles of the EU members following the summit and rewarded them with erasing much of the previous day’s losses.

Posted by Bob Loukas
On December 7, 2011

From a cycle’s perspective, the setup is not perfect, but certainly very favorable to the point where it’s worth taking a good stab at it. The main deterrent here is that the daily cycle is rather young at 9 days. Although there are cases of equity cycles topping this early, it is not that common.

Posted by Bob Loukas
On December 4, 2011

What a week, just when we thought winter was setting upon the markets, out pops a ray of sunshine, and the world was saved. Those wise central bank Maestro’s did it again. Who would have thought that dropping an interbank swap rate was all that was lacking this entire year.

Posted by Bob Loukas
On November 23, 2011

These are unusual times my friends and one must be extremely cautious and guarded. What the 2008 event should have taught you was to expect the worst and that no outcome is out of scope or beyond reach. Black swans are not as infrequent as they would like you to believe and when there is one black swan, there may be a flock.

Posted by Bob Loukas
On November 17, 2011

Remember when we only cared about Greece and solving Greece would be a return to business as usual. The financial crisis in Europe is heating up as rapidly as the proudly erected EFSF firewall around Greece is being burned down. Contagion has spread much quicker

Posted by Bob Loukas
On November 11, 2011

But I’m also cognizant of an alternative setup that could be very costly to a portfolio that is heavily and stubbornly invested long. For this reason, I cashed in my gains for the current cycle and will be reevaluating my trading strategy to incorporate both scenarios.

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Coal In Our Stocking

Market Update Report Dec 7th

Nothing But Sunshine

Play It Again, Sam

FireFighting

Gold–The Case For Further Downside

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